NBA mock draft 2022: Updated first round projection after March Madness

The school basketball season is formally within the books with Kansas Jayhawks chopping down the nets as nationwide champions on the lads’s facet. That means it’s a pure time to stay up for the 2022 NBA Draft. The draft will likely be held on Thursday, June 23, with the draft lottery happening on Tuesday, May 17.

This mock draft was largely crafted off our private large board, however match was considered for a couple of of the picks. We’ve been masking the 2022 draft class for the reason that day after the 2021 draft was held, with our first board debuting in July. While rather a lot has modified for the reason that preseason, the highest two gamers on our board stay in the identical order.

There are 4 gamers who’ve emerged on the prime of this draft class. Which gamers are the largest risers and fallers on the board after the NCAA match? Here’s our full first spherical projection, with notes on the picks after the desk.

2022 NBA mock draft: Post-NCAA match version

Pick Team Player From Position Age
Pick Team Player From Position Age
1 Orlando Magic Paolo Banchero Duke Forward Freshman
2 Houston Rockets Chet Holmgren Gonzaga Forward/Big Freshman
3 Detroit Pistons Jabari Smith Jr. Auburn Forward/Big Freshman
4 Oklahoma City Thunder Jaden Ivey Purdue Guard Sophomore
5 Indiana Pacers AJ Griffin Duke Wing Freshman
6 Portland Trail Blazers Jalen Duren Memphis Center Freshman
7 Sacramento Kings Shaedon Sharpe Kentucky Guard Freshman
8 New Orleans Pelicans (by way of Lakers) Ben Mathurin Arizona Guard Sophomore
9 San Antonio Spurs Keegan Murray Iowa Forward Sophomore
10 Washington Wizards Tari Eason LSU Forward Sophomore
11 Portland Trail Blazers (by way of Pelicans) Johnny Davis Wisconsin Guard Sophomore
12 New York Knicks Jeremy Sochan Baylor Forward Freshman
13 Houston Rockets (by way of Nets) TyTy Washington Kentucky Guard Freshman
14 Charlotte Hornets Malaki Branham Ohio State Guard Freshman
15 Oklahoma City Thunder (by way of Clippers) Ousmane Dieng France Wing Born 2003
16 Atlanta Hawks Dyson Daniels G League Wing Born 2003
17 Indiana Pacers (by way of Cavs) Ochai Agbaji Kansas Wing Senior
18 Minnesota Timberwolves Jaden Hardy G League Guard Freshman
19 Chicago Bulls Patrick Baldwin Milwaukee Forward Freshman
20 San Antonio Spurs (by way of Raptors) Nikola Jovic Serbia Forward Born 2003
21 Memphis Grizzlies Blake Wesley Notre Dame Guard Freshman
22 Denver Nuggets Kendall Brown Baylor Guard Freshman
23 Milwaukee Bucks EJ Liddell Ohio State Forward Junior
24 Brooklyn Nets (by way of 76ers) Bryce McGowens Nebraska Wing Freshman
25 Dallas Mavericks Mark Williams Duke Center Freshman
26 San Antonio Spurs (by way of Celtics) Kennedy Chandler Tennessee Guard Freshman
27 Golden State Warriors Harrison Ingram Stanford Wing Freshman
28 Miami Heat MarJon Beauchamp G League Wing Fresbhman
29 Memphis Grizzlies Jean Montero Overtime Elite Guard Born 2003
30 Oklahoma City Thunder (by way of Suns) Christian Braun Kansas Guard Junior

Paolo Banchero is our prime prospect, however three different gamers additionally deserve consideration with the No. 1 total choose

We printed a prolonged breakdown of why Duke ahead Paolo Banchero is our prime participant within the 2022 NBA draft class over the weekend. Banchero has been No. 1 for us since our preliminary board in July, and we consider he ought to be the primary total choose for many groups relying on how the lottery shakes out. At the identical time, the hole between Banchero and the following three finest prospects is shut sufficient that any of the 4 might be justified as the primary choose.

Each of the highest 4 gamers on this class has the expertise to be a multi-time NBA All-Star, however group context and the way they enhance their flaws will in the end decide their professional ceiling. Here’s how we’d rank the “Tier 1” prospects on this class proper now:

  1. Paolo Banchero, F, Duke: The finest shot creator for himself and others on this class at 6’10, 250 kilos. Banchero shows unimaginable passing and ball dealing with at his dimension, however there are legit issues for the way he matches into sure group contexts if he doesn’t enhance his three-point capturing. While he ought to be a stable defender, he doesn’t undertaking as be as impactful on that finish as Holmgren or Smith. Read our full breakdown on Banchero right here.
  2. Chet Holmgren, F/C, Gonzaga: An elite rim protector who can anchor a protection regardless of his skinny body. Holmgren’s scoring is a priority, however his glorious ending on the rim and succesful three-point capturing provides him a pathway to offensive worth. Holmgren’s outdoors shot is important to his offensive projection. The swing think about his NBA translation will likely be how a lot of a scoring load he can carry. Orlando, who has the No. 1 choose on this mock, would possibly truly be a group that prefers Holmgren at No. 1 to assist elevate the protection (the Magic additionally love size, and Chet’s 7’6 wingspan ought to be interesting). Read our full breakdown on Holmgren right here.
  3. Jaden Ivey, G, Purdue: Ivey has unimaginable burst with the ball and is an explosive athlete across the rim. He has the potential to develop right into a major offensive choice, however he must proceed bettering his manipulation of tempo, his pull-up three ball, and the way he reads the second degree of the protection.
  4. Jabari Smith Jr. F, Auburn: One of one of the best 6’10+ three-point shooters to ever enter the NBA, Smith additionally exhibits spectacular capability to defend on the perimeter. The query will likely be what he can do contained in the arc: Smith shot solely 43.5 % on two-pointers and sometimes struggled to create his personal look. He wants to enhance his rim ending and ball dealing with, however there’s a pathway right here for No. 1 worth. We put Smith forward of Ivey on this mock primarily based on match with the Pistons.

I’ve been fortunate sufficient to cowl each NBA draft since 2014, and that is the primary time I’ve ever had 4 gamers within the prime tier. I assume I’ve realized some humility through the years — having the general public receipts on all of your hits and misses will do this to a person. We assume Banchero ought to go No. 1, however we received’t bash a group for preferring any of the opposite prime three gamers. It’s shut.

A.J. Griffin and Jalen Duren are alone in Tier 2

Duke wing A.J. Griffin and Memphis heart Jalen Duren have established themselves as one of the best prospects within the class outdoors the top-four due to their mixture of youth, bodily instruments, and translatable match to the NBA.

Griffin received’t flip 19 years previous till late August, however already has a grown man’s physique. At 6’6, 222 kilos, with a 7-foot wingspan, Griffin has an elite body for a wing and NBA bloodlines because the son of long-time professional Adrian Griffin. He’s a deadeye outdoors shooter, canning 44.7 % of his 159 makes an attempt from three on the season. Griffin’s capturing is a bankable ability, however the remainder of his offensive worth seems much less sure. He regarded a little bit stiff as a north-south driver, and posted a lowly 17.9 % free throw fee this season. Part of that’s as a result of Duke not often let him create off the dribble. It’s additionally potential he’s nonetheless getting again to full power health-wise after a historical past of knee accidents. If Griffin can grow to be extra versatile and agile athletically, he appears like a superb off-ball wing who ought to convey critical gravity across the arc.

Duren doesn’t flip 19 years previous till mid Nov., and like Griffin already has a man-child body. At 6’10, 250 kilos, with a 7’5 wingspan, he tasks as a middle who play a number of coverages defensively and boasts an bettering offensive ability set. Duren ought to be a flexible pick-and-roll defender within the NBA as a result of he strikes properly on the perimeter and has glorious size. He completed top-30 within the nation with a 9.9 % block fee this season as one of many nation’s youngest freshmen. On offense, Duren threw some spectacular passes briefly roll conditions and may make an impression punishing groups on the offensive glass and catching catching lobs. He confirmed a pleasant little face-up jumper at occasions, however solely made 62.5 % of his free throws and tried just one three-pointer all 12 months. There’s an argument that facilities in Duren’s archetype usually aren’t price a top-six choose, however his superior physicality, eager defensive instincts, and flashes of offensive ability at such a younger age make him a secure wager.

Shaedon Sharpe and Ousmane Dieng are this draft’s lottery tickets

Want to take a swing for the fences after the top-six? A pair of 18-year-old wing prospects with worldwide pedigrees provide uncooked however engaging upside that might be robust to show down within the lottery.

Shaedon Sharpe enrolled at Kentucky in Jan. as subsequent 12 months’s No. 1 recruit, however didn’t play a sport for the Wildcats this season. ESPN reported that he could also be eligible to enter this draft, and if it occurs he’ll be the No. 7 prospect on our board. Sharpe is a 6’6 wing with a 7-foot wingspan from Ontario who quickly rose into the highest participant in his class due to his mixture of dimension, capturing, and athleticism. Sharpe has a pure capturing stroke with deep vary and loves to fireside off the dribble. He’s additionally an explosive and agile athlete who ought to be capable to assault closeouts and defend his place. While his highschool footage is stuffed with superb highlights, Sharpe stays tough across the edges and could be vulnerable to poor shot choice. It’s additionally exhausting to know precisely how good of a shooter and the way environment friendly of a scorer he could be with none school expertise. If he crushes exercises, anticipate him to attract consideration as early as No. 5 primarily based on his pedigree and bodily instruments.

Dieng is a 6’10 French wing who’s opening eyes together with his latest play for the New Zealand Breakers within the NBL. A easy, lanky ahead who can deal with the ball and shows shot-making contact, Dieng has intrigued evaluators by operating pick-and-rolls and hitting floaters in the identical professional league that produced LaMelo Ball, Josh Giddey, and R.J. Hampton. He obtained off to a sluggish begin that tanked his numbers — proper now, he’s capturing 35.6 % from the sector, 23.5 % from three, and 63.6 % from the foul line — however he’s regarded a lot extra snug and extra productive over his previous 10 video games. Dieng stays rail skinny and must develop shortly as a shooter, however his top and flashes of perimeter ability make him a worthy upside swing.

Which NBA prospects rose within the 2022 NCAA match?

  • Jeremy Sochan, F, Baylor: It’s inconceivable to take your eyes off Sochan due to the unimaginable power he performs with defensively. The 6’9 freshman ahead raised the extent of depth each time he took the ground, displaying the flexibility to modify onto smaller gamers, wall up across the rim, and canopy a ton of floor together with his mobility. Sochan additionally has some juice off the dribble. If his jumper comes round — he made 24 threes however shot 29.6 % from deep and 58.9 % from the foul line — he’ll have a protracted and profitable profession.
  • Ochai Agbaji, G, Kansas: Agbaji was at all times a big-time athlete on the wing, nevertheless it took him 4 years at Kansas to develop into the shooter he wanted to be to draw critical NBA consideration. The complete nation noticed his capturing enchancment on show when he went 6-for-7 from three in opposition to Villanova within the Final Four. At 6’5 with a 6’10 wingspan, he has related bodily dimensions to Bulls rookie Ayo Dosunmu. If groups assume he could be an instantaneous impression defender like Dosunmu, he might be a worthy rotational wing within the late lottery. The undeniable fact that he was glorious within the Final Four on his approach to profitable Most Outstanding Player on the nationwide title winner will solely assist his inventory.
  • Malaki Branham, G, Ohio State: A 6’5 wing with a 6’10 wingspan, Branham is a wonderful shooter who hit 41.6 % of his threes and 83.3 % of his free throws as a freshman. He additionally confirmed critical capability as a pick-and-roll ball handler, ending within the 94th percentile within the nation (which made up 27 % of his possessions, the best of any play kind). Branham closed the season on a tear — together with 23 factors in opposition to a troublesome Villanova protection in Ohio State’s spherical of 32 match loss — taking him from a probable returner to a potential lottery choose.
  • Mark Williams, C, Duke: Williams is a 7-foot heart with an unlimited 7’7 wingspan who was a significant a part of Duke’s march to the Final Four. Williams tasks as a lob menace on offense and rim protector on protection who is aware of the right way to leverage his size to impression the sport. While Williams fell a bit since our pre-tournament mock, it appears like he’s put himself forward of his friends in the same archetype like Walker Kessler and Christian Koloko.

We’ll have one other NBA mock draft earlier than and after the lottery

We can’t wait to see how the draft order shakes out. Draft season is heating up, and we’ll be following this class all the best way till draft evening.

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